The Valuation Gap: Challenges for Niche CG Brands in Private Placements

The Valuation Gap: Challenges for Niche CG Brands in Private Placements

Why Investors Undervalue Niche CG Brands Private Placement

India’s consumer goods sector is a vibrant engine of growth. Yet, niche brands specialising in Ayurvedic skincare, artisanal foods, or eco-friendly home care often face a critical challenge: investors undervalue niche CG brands private placement. This undervaluation stems from outdated valuation models, misaligned investor perceptions, and strategic gaps in how niche brands articulate their value.

This article, aimed at senior leaders and decision-makers, dissects why investors undervalue niche CG brands private placement and offers actionable strategies to bridge this gap. It draws on insights from LawCrust’s legal and financial advisory expertise, offering a hybrid consulting lens to address this recurring issue.

Industry Overview: India’s Consumer Goods Ecosystem

India’s consumer goods market, valued at USD 245.39 billion in 2024, is projected to reach USD 1,108.48 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 17.33%. As the fourth-largest contributor to India’s GDP, the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector employs over 3 million people. Key sub-segments include food and beverages (19%), healthcare (31%), and household and personal care (50%), all of which drive sustained demand.

Urban markets contribute approximately 65% of revenue. In contrast, rural areas account for 35%, with e-commerce expected to represent 15% of FMCG sales by 2025. The value chain spans manufacturers, distributors, niche retailers, Direct-to-Consumer (D2C) platforms, third-party logistics, and regulatory bodies like FSSAI.

Niche brands offering organic home products or specialty foods thrive due to macro trends such as urbanisation, aspirational buying, and a rising premiumisation mindset. Moreover, the growing D2C ecosystem has enabled these brands to cultivate loyal communities focused on wellness, sustainability, and heritage. However, despite their appeal, these businesses face niche brand valuation challenges during private placements. Investors often undervalue niche CG brands private placement due to perceived scalability and profitability risks.

1. Recent Developments Impacting Niche Brands (June 2025)

Several structural and regulatory developments in 2025 are reshaping the valuation landscape for niche CG brands:

  • PLI Scheme Expansion: The Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, with USD 1.42 billion allocated, now includes niche categories like wellness and home essentials. However, limited access to institutional capital restricts smaller brands from fully leveraging this support. Consequently, this reinforces the tendency to undervalue niche CG brands private placement.
  • Inflation and Input Costs: While CPI pressures have eased, many niche brands continue to rely on premium or sustainable inputs such as cold-pressed oils or biodegradable packaging. As a result, these brands experience margin volatility, complicating efforts in valuing niche CG for investment.
  • ESG and EPR Norms: New Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations have increased compliance costs. For niche brands with broad SKU portfolios but low volumes, investors often misread these challenges as inefficiencies. Therefore, this misunderstanding further contributes to the perception that niche CG brands lack operational resilience.
  • IPO and VC Trends: Since the 2024 market correction, investors have shifted toward profit-centric metrics. Brands that emphasise long-term brand equity over short-term EBITDA are increasingly overlooked. As a result, niche brand valuation challenges have intensified.
  • Budget 2025 and GST Updates: Amendments in input tax credit claims and GST classifications especially for organic or specialty products have affected working capital cycles. Consequently, these changes add further friction in investor due diligence and distort investor perception niche brands.

2. Key Challenges in Valuing Niche CG for Investment

Niche consumer goods brands face distinct hurdles in presenting a strong investment case:

  • Investor Perception Niche Brands: Many investors equate niche with non-scalable. They often ignore key metrics like LTV, brand stickiness, and high repeat rates. This flawed perception is a leading reason why stakeholders undervalue niche CG brands private placement.
  • Data Scarcity: D2C-first brands typically lack long-term financial history. Therefore, applying traditional revenue or EBITDA multiples becomes problematic, highlighting a persistent niche brand valuation challenge.
  • CAC and ROAS Volatility: Volatility in customer acquisition cost (CAC) and return on ad spend (ROAS) especially in digital marketing can cause investors to miscalculate growth potential. Moreover, overreliance on paid ads without proper cohort analysis can obscure sustainable performance.
  • Limited Distribution Footprint: While strong D2C performance is commendable, weak offline reach remains a red flag for investors assessing scale. Consequently, brands are seen as having narrow market presence.
  • Pricing Premiums Misjudged: High-value SKUs are often misinterpreted as low-volume outliers. However, in reality, many of these brands benefit from high margins and loyal, returning consumers. Still, misjudgments here fuel the tendency to undervalue niche CG brands private placement.

3. Strategic Lens: Why Do Investors Undervalue Niche CG Brands Private Placement?

  • GTM Strategy Gaps: Most niche CG brands over-rely on D2C and fail to build an omnichannel presence. As a result, investors penalise them for not having general trade or modern retail channels, reinforcing their bias.
  • M&A Readiness Issues: Investors seek brands with clean exits usually through acquisition or IPO. However, niche players often lack IP protection, organised P&Ls, or audit-ready financials. This makes them appear riskier, contributing to niche brand valuation challenges.
  • Conventional Valuation Models: Traditional models, such as EV/EBITDA or revenue multiples, fail to capture community-led growth, product uniqueness, or cultural relevance. Therefore, many investors unintentionally misprice the potential of these businesses.
  • Risk Aversion Post-2024: Following the funding corrections, investors have shifted toward unit economics and profitability. In contrast, niche brands tend to be earlier-stage with evolving monetisation, hence seen as higher risk.
  • Legal Compliance Gaps: Weaknesses in FSSAI certifications, IP filings, or handling of consumer complaints reduce investor confidence. According to LawCrust’s legal experts, improving regulatory hygiene is essential to mitigate risk and improve valuation.

Several strategic misalignments explain why this undervaluation persists:

4. Strategic Recommendations

  • For Founders

To overcome valuation bias, founders should:

  • Build Data-Driven Narratives: Present strong arguments around LTV, retention cohorts, and growth from community-led channels. For instance, if 60% of orders are repeat customers, this signals stability and loyalty.
  • Standardise KPIs: Use dashboards to track CAC, ROAS, net revenue per user, and cohort behaviour. This simplifies valuation discussions and supports investor confidence.
  • Strengthen Compliance Frameworks: Work with legal advisors like LawCrust to maintain clean FSSAI records, EPR documentation, and intellectual property protections.
  • For Investors

To support better valuations, investors must:

  • Develop Custom Valuation Models: Incorporate intangible metrics like user-generated content (UGC), brand virality, and influencer ROI to more accurately capture brand momentum.
  • Use Flexible Instruments: Explore convertible notes, royalty-based investing, or earn-out structures to balance risk and upside potential.
  • Create Niche-Focused Funds: Establish teams dedicated to niche CG categories, enabling deeper due diligence and reducing valuation errs.

Illustrative Examples

  • Example 1 – Functional Beverage D2C Brand: A functional beverage brand with ₹10 Cr in revenue and a 60% repeat order rate struggled to secure a ₹40 Cr valuation. Investors cited limited offline presence. However, after reframing their pitch using LTV data and community metrics, the brand raised funds at a 20% higher valuation, overcoming a classic case of undervaluing niche CG brands private placement.
  • Example 2 – Eco-Friendly Home Care Startup: This startup aligned well with ESG mandates, yet faced scepticism due to high cost structures. By showcasing supply chain optimisation and vendor consolidation, the startup secured funding with a performance-linked earn-out, proving the impact of clear, structured financial storytelling.

Conclusion

The tendency to undervalue niche CG brands private placement remains a structural challenge in India’s consumer goods market. Outdated valuation models, compliance friction, and investor aversion to specialised segments continue to limit fair capital access.

However, with the right combination of data transparency, regulatory compliance, and strategic storytelling, founders can overcome these challenges. Likewise, investors must evolve their evaluation frameworks to recognise brand loyalty, cultural fit, and digital community strength. With LawCrust’s legal-financial advisory, stakeholders can bridge the valuation gap and unlock sustainable growth across India’s niche CG landscape.

About LawCrust

LawCrust Global Consulting Ltd. delivers cutting-edge Hybrid Consulting Solutions in Management, Finance, Technology, and Legal Consulting to ambitious businesses worldwide. Recognised for our cross-functional expertise and hybrid consulting approach, we empower startups, SMEs, and enterprises to scale efficiently, innovate boldly, and navigate complexity with confidence. Our services span key areas such as Investment Banking, Fundraising, Mergers & Acquisitions, Private Placement, and Debt Restructuring & Transformation, positioning us as a strategic partner for growth and resilience. With an integrated consulting model, fixed-cost engagements, and a virtual delivery framework, we make business transformation accessible, agile, and impactful.

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